Category: Financial Markets Update

FOR FRIDAY: (7/27) GDP is a big deal on Friday, as some estimates are for 5.2% based on recent stats. Will the market think overheating or get exciting? This market is on steroids so we have to be cautious.Continue reading

FOR THURSDAY: (7/26) The EU caved to Trump’s demands and produced another leg up. Now we have ECB and GDP, and the market is often vulnerable a week before FOMC so hard to press longs. Facebook is tanking after hours, pulling NQ sharply lower, and it will spill into the broader market so a top may be in. Have to get short on recovery highs for stocks.Continue reading

FOR WEDNESDAY: (7/25) Dog days of summer and some wild cycles are still present but we think stocks will hold up another day at least but it may get dicey going into next week’s FOMC meeting, and often stocks will sell off 35-50 points before the announcement. Not sure if the best day for that to happen but on the ropes.Continue reading

FOR TUESDAY (7/24) The trade couldn’t break stocks so they took them up for their typical Monday romp. Tuesday looks higher for stocks so we can’t stick around and we probably have to buy in the morning, and NQ is about to breakout. Chances are a rally on the dollar is a sale on Tuesday and a dip on gold is a buy. Crude is about to break and be lower into at least next Sunday/Monday.

SEPT. E-MINI S & P 500
TRADING RECOMMENDATION: Wait for morning comments.
S & P ANALYSIS FOR TUESDAY: (7/24) EOur shorts were in nice profits on Sunday night when 2792.50 hit and hopefully you took some off and heeded the yellow flags with pushes above 2806 intraday. Support overnight at 2808.50 and 2806.25 with new highs to 2824.50 and 2828.50 possible. Wednesday isn’t clear but given patterns and the breakout on NQ, we have to assume that the higher numbers are possible before end of the month profit-taking hits. Stocks failed to fall apart with weak cycles, and great GOOGLE earnings helped NQ, which never issued a solid sell signal. Market looks higher on Tuesday, and we’re going to have to scramble on shorts.
CYCLE SYNTHESIS: Higher Tuesday; volatile Wednesday; lower into Friday and into July 31.

FOR MONDAY: (7/23) Funny reversals in metals and currencies may drag on until at least next Friday, with Tuesday being a pullback day to get in. Assuming that stocks are mostly lower into the end of the month with very few time windows to rally. Trade already looking ahead to the next FOMC meeting announcement on Aug. 1.Continue reading

FOR FRIDAY: (7/20) Markets were a bit crazy today but key numbers were reached on many fronts and reversals happened. We’ve been in a time window for topping action for stocks and bottoming action for metals, and it look like it happened.Continue reading

FOR THURSDAY: (7/19) Not sure we learned much on Wednesday and not seeing anything dire on the horizon for Friday, so the Powell breakouts for the dollar and stocks could continue without some shocking news. More likely to get reversal energy by Sunday. Vulnerable surprises are potential out there, with some cycles but probably less so for Friday.Continue reading

FOR MONDAY: (7/16) Weekends have been treacherous around China announcements so we are more on the sidelines. By Tuesday, we have Powell testimony and think that we’ll get reversals on most markets until at least July 25 so metals should short-cover, dollars should be lower with crude higher and stocks lower. Monday is a transition day so we’ll be patient.Continue reading

FOR FRIDAY: (7/13) Retaliation from China over the weekend could keep the market on edge so the trade may be reluctant to push too much higher. We’ve had a lot of surprises by China announced over the weekend in past weekends. Cycles look positive in the morning but to be concerned about weekend profit-taking. In an ideal world, we would love for the S & P to reach up quickly to 2820. Trade waiting on Tuesday’s Powell testimony, and it appears it won’t go well, as many markets turn after it.Continue reading

FOR THURSDAY: (7/12) Watching overnight carefully but inclined to think that stocks will be higher and not done until 2820 comes on the S & P. Metals look lower for a few more days and oil should be done within a day. Reversal coming next week but not sure why.Continue reading