FOR WEDNESDAY: (6/27) We’re concerned that the markets will turn into a ghost town the week of July 2-6 with the 4th falling on a Wednesday. May seem a lot like the week of Christmas with everyone traveling. That often leaves us with congestive patterns and no clues. Still enough volume for a few days but could thin into Friday. We’re open to a break in stocks on Wednesday but then wonder if we will get short-covering for a while and that seems to be the case.Continue reading
Nothing bullish in the forecasts
FOR WEDNESDAY: (6/27) Nothing bullish in the forecasts. We think grains will short-cover before the USDA but will be hard to hold anything into the weekend. We have a bias for higher prices next week but the seasonal odds are usually against us. Cattle continues to look weak but as pre-holiday conditions thin, anything can happen.Continue reading
Should still be able to safely sell stocks on Tuesday
FOR TUESDAY: (6/25) Cycle lows for stocks dominate into at least Wednesday, and end-of- the-month unraveling may not help into the end of the week if anyone is left before a 1-week 4th of July holiday. We should still be able to safely sell stocks on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the verdict is out on gold, the dollar and oil, as Monday’s action wasn’t definitive.Continue reading
Not seeing a huge downside potential for corn
FOR TUESDAY: (6/26) Grains look lower 1 more day followed by short covering into Friday. New research on cattle suggests lower into Wednesday if not into early next week. Grains do look higher the first week of July overall so the worst may be over if the market can do secondary lows this week and offer a light hedge buy in case of pollination. Cattle on Feed was neutral to bearish and now the market could be lower into Wednesday. Hogs are oversold and may have a chance to rally with a 5-wave pattern just about complete.Continue reading
Dollar looks lower into Sunday
FOR MONDAY: (6/25) Trade is processing the aftermath of Friday’s OPEC meeting so may have wild action on Sunday. Stocks getting more serious about shorts and metals running out of time for new lows by Sunday night or early Monday. Dollar looks lower into Sunday.Continue reading
Grains look lower Monday/Tuesday
FOR MONDAY: (6/25) Corn is the most vulnerable to the upside because of pollination, and that is starting to issue a buy signal. Some hope for grain bulls if we get hotter temperatures in July and weird weather patterns. Markets are so beat up they really have to factor in pollination so the path of least resistance is up. Market looks lower Monday/Tuesday but the should come to life. Grains do look higher the first week of July overall so the worst may be over if the market can do secondary lows this week and offer a light hedge buy in case of pollination. Cattle on Feed was neutral to bearish and now the market could even be lower into Wednesday. Hogs are oversold and may have a chance to rally with a 5-wave pattern just about complete.Continue reading
Metals running out of time for new lows
FOR FRIDAY: (6/22) Trade waiting on Friday OPEC meeting but it bleeds into Saturday so may have wild action on Sunday. Stocks getting more serious about shorts and metals running out of time for new lows by Sunday night or early Monday. Dollar looks lower into Sunday.Continue reading
Corn most likely to bounce
FOR FRIDAY: (6/22) Corn is the most vulnerable to the upside because of pollination, and that is starting to issue a buy signal. Wet weather is starting to reduce yields. Getting closer to Cattle on Feed for Friday, and that can get dicey. We hope we get enough downward momentum to make money on our shorts.Continue reading
Gold, silver look lower on Thursday
FOR THURSDAY: (6/21) Trade waiting on Friday OPEC meeting, and new highs on NQ cash mean that they will buy Amazon when everything else is starting to be in trouble. We’ll wait for the morning but the rule is not to sell after a sucker punch and new highs in a market, and NQ may bring SP up eventually. Gold and silver look lower on Thursday.Continue reading
29-day grains cycle weak on Thursday
FOR THURSDAY: (6/21) Thursdays are often lower for grains and the 29-day cycle is weak. There should be a day-trade sale in the morning, and it could turn into a secondary low into Monday. Corn is the most vulnerable to the upside because of pollination, and that is starting to issue a buy signal. Getting closer to Cattle on Feed for Friday, and that can get dicey. We hope we get enough downward momentum to make money on our shorts.Continue reading